Chattanooga, Tennessee, the “Scenic City,” has seen a surge in popularity in recent years. The city offers picturesque surroundings, outdoor recreational opportunities, and a thriving local economy. In fact, Chattanooga recently surpassed Nashville and Knoxville as the #1 city in Tennessee for in-flow of new residents, while our State ranked 6th among U.S. states for inbound moves. Signal Mountain, a sought-after community with natural beauty, small-town charm, and award-winning schools, is experiencing significantly limited housing availability, like many communities in our region. It serves as a case study for the Greater Chattanooga market.
Local Market Case Study
As of April 24, 2023, only 22 houses were available on Signal Mountain. A historically balanced market would offer over 5-times that number. The limited housing supply on Signal Mountain has intensified competition among potential homebuyers, leading to historically high price points. Compare today’s average home price of over $700,000 with that of 2020’s average of $456,185. Signal Mountain Local Market Snapshot(37377, Hamilton Co, 4.24.23 via Greater Chattanooga Association of Realtors MLS)
What About Interest Rates?
Despite interest rates tripling over the last 12 months, 2022 was a record-breaking year on Signal, and 2023 is trending in the same direction. Signal’s key market drivers include the nationwide housing shortage, significant migration into the state, TN’s low tax burden (2nd lowest in US), Signal’s nationally-ranked school system, and of course, lifestyle.What Does This Mean For Sellers?
The lack of available homes on Signal Mountain and in Chattanooga has several results, which might prove beneficial to Sellers on Signal:- Competitive Offers: The limited inventory has forced potential buyers to make more aggressive offers, garnering the average Seller 96% of the original listing price.
- Speed of Sale: Homes that do become available on Signal Mountain and in Chattanooga are selling quickly, often within 1 month of being listed. (Hamilton County Days on Market = 31, Signal Mountain Days on Market = 34)
- Increased Home Prices: With demand outpacing supply, home prices on Signal Mountain and in Chattanooga continue to rise (See Chart).
What’s Driving The Low Inventory?
This shortage isn’t only affecting Signal Mountain but reflects the larger market in Chattanooga (Hamilton County), which is experiencing the limited housing challenge at 1.3 months of inventory. (Balanced market = 6 months inventory). Several factors contribute to the limited housing availability in the Greater Chattanooga area:- Growing Population: Chattanooga has seen a significant influx of new residents, drawn to the area by its natural beauty, vibrant arts scene, and strong job market. In fact, for every 1 person who moves out of Chattanooga, 3 more move in. This population growth has put pressure on the housing market, resulting in a shortage of available homes.
- Favorable Tax Environments: Tennessee is one of 9 states with no state income tax, and ranks as having the 2nd lowest tax burden of all US states. This is driving Buyers from across the country to our local area.
- Increased Investment: Investors have taken note of Chattanooga’s affordability and growth. Even with record-high price points in our city, our median home price is still 15% below the national median.
- Decreased New Construction: National Housing Starts and Permits dropped in 2022 to near pandemic levels, slowing the addition of new construction homes to the market, a significant factor in the low supply – high demand ratio. Layer this with pre-pandemic low inventory caused, in part, by the 2008 Great Recession.